{"id":15210,"date":"2021-05-11T13:27:23","date_gmt":"2021-05-11T20:27:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/?p=15210"},"modified":"2021-05-11T13:27:47","modified_gmt":"2021-05-11T20:27:47","slug":"sellers-market-shift-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/sellers-market-shift-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"Will the Seller&#8217;s Market Shift in 2021?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/sellers-market-shift-2021\/will-the-sellers-market-shift-in-2021\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-15213\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-15213\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Will-the-Sellers-Market-Shift-in-2021.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"950\" height=\"558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Will-the-Sellers-Market-Shift-in-2021.jpg 950w, https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Will-the-Sellers-Market-Shift-in-2021-300x176.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Will-the-Sellers-Market-Shift-in-2021-600x352.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Will-the-Sellers-Market-Shift-in-2021-768x451.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In 2020, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.modestmoney.com\/best-ways-to-invest-in-real-estate\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">real estate investors<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> enjoyed the combined advantages of low mortgage rates and soft property prices. However, as the U.S. emerges from the pandemic and its economy recovers, there is a lot of pent-up demand for property and a lack of listings. And rising prices cut into potential profits for investors.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s a seller\u2019s market, and that\u2019s not likely to change any time soon. Homebuilders have been very conservative with their starts in the years following the subprime mortgage implosion when they were burned by huge inventories and falling prices. And now they are constrained by supply chain bottlenecks and soaring prices for building materials.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Today, even if every builder broke ground at 100% capacity, there would still be a home shortage a year from now, according to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/the-lumber-and-chip-shortages-have-the-same-root-cause-underinvestment-51619540757\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Barron\u2019s<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Property Markets: Forces In Play<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are several factors that will probably influence the supply and pricing of property in the U.S.:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestatewitch.com\/covid-finances-april-2021\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Research from Real Estate Witch<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> shows that 90% of those who planned to sell last year put off the transaction, and 22% decided to take their property off the market altogether. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That means less inventory and higher prices.<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">National foreclosure and eviction moratoriums are set to expire on June 30, 2021. Currently, 2.57 million homeowners are in forbearance programs with their lenders, according to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2021\/03\/29\/success\/when-will-housing-market-cool-off-feseries\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Black Knight<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Those homeowners may ultimately sell to find a more affordable living situation, but not right now. And in most cases, the homeowners and tenants will be responsible for making up their past-due amounts or leave. According to Clever\u2019s research, most people surveyed are still living paycheck to paycheck and have no emergency savings, let alone money to make up past-due rent or mortgage payments. Landlords looking at surging prices may well be induced to sell their underperforming rentals. And mortgage lenders will have REO to unload in foreclosure sales. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That means more inventory this summer. <\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although the financial position of 35% of Americans improved during the pandemic, four in ten have no emergency savings, six in ten report living paycheck-to-paycheck and one in four missed at least one rent or mortgage payment because of COVID. They are in no position to qualify for a mortgage at this time. And that probably explains why 61% of renters reported that they planned to buy a home in 2021, but now the majority say they are holding off. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That should reduce the amount of competition for entry-level homes, the type favored by many investors.<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Even though only 10% of those who planned to sell last year went ahead as planned, three-quarters of those who did not sell their homes plan to list them later this year \u2014 primarily in the months of May, June, and September. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That should take some of the pressure off of buyers in the second half of 2021 and early 2022. <\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite the difficulty of competing for homes, most respondents (69%) stated that they believe 2021 is a good time to buy a home. In fact, 17% of renters accelerated their plans to buy. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This attitude will likely encourage buyers to persist in the face of higher prices, which won\u2019t bring them down any time soon.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How these conflicting conditions will ultimately play out is anyone\u2019s guess. It does appear, however, that real estate inventory in much of the country will improve by the end of the year \u2014 but that may be only enough to slow the price increases. It won\u2019t turn a seller\u2019s market into a buyer\u2019s market, and it probably won\u2019t cause home prices to fall \u2014 only rise more slowly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Silver Lining for Real Estate Investors<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s a common saying in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.savingjunkie.com\/best-way-to-invest-100k-safely\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">real estate investing<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that you don\u2019t make your profit when you sell; you make it when you buy. And the low inventory is pushing prices higher and squeezing investor profits.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But it\u2019s not all bad news. First, investors who already own property may be seeing nice gains. This may be a good time to sell and take capital gains or complete a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/tax-deferred-1031-exchange-basics-for-investors\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">tax-deferred exchange<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> into new property.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to ManageCasa\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/managecasa.com\/articles\/us-rental-property-market\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2021 US Rental Property Market Outlook<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, there are two rental markets in the U.S. \u2014 older <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/listwithclever.com\/real-estate-blog\/beginners-guide-to-buying-an-apartment-building\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">apartment buildings in cities<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which are seeing declining rents and occupancy rates, and newer buildings and homes in the suburbs, where vacancy rates are tiny and rents are climbing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There may be opportunities to buy in depressed urban communities, knowing that millennials will eventually make their way back into the cities they prefer. Or you may prefer to buy rentals where demand is high and rents are rising. That\u2019s a safer choice even though the upside is lower.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2022: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Predict Slowdown<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If 2021 looks grim for bargain hunters, 2022 may bring improvements. Both <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.inman.com\/2021\/04\/19\/housing-market-is-headed-for-a-slowdown-say-fannie-freddie\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> predict slowdowns in housing markets as mortgage rates rise. Increasing interest rates make homes less affordable and shrinks the pool of potential buyers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Understand that the mortgage clearinghouses are not predicting a decline in prices, only a slowing of increases. According to Fannie Mae, home prices that were originally predicted to rise by 4.2% are now expected to climb by 8% in 2021. But expectations for 2022 have been adjusted downward, decelerating to 2.9% as measured by the FHFA Home Price Index.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Freddie Mac\u2019s predictions are a little rosier \u2014 its analysts predict home prices will rise by 6.6% in 2021 before slowing to 4.4% in 2022.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finding Investment Opportunities<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There will be homes for sale for those in position to snap them up:<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Foreclosure sales and REO will hit the market once the moratoriums expire.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Renters are largely holding back with the majority unable to buy at this time.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rising mortgage rates will curtail affordability for those who must borrow to buy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Builders are adding inventory as quickly as they can.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rentals in temporarily depressed areas may provide great investment opportunities.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cash buyers will continue to hold an advantage.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The coronavirus changed everything in U.S. real estate, but the impact is not permanent. And in one way, nothing changed \u2014 there will always be good investments to those who search patiently and with diligence.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h2>RELATED READING FOR YOU:<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/buying-a-rental-property\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">What to Look for When Buying a Rental Property<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"LinkSuggestion__Link-sc-1mdih4x-2 jZPuuT\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/stigmatized-housing-renting-and-selling-disclosure-requirements\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Stigmatized Housing Renting and Selling Disclosure Requirements<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"LinkSuggestion__Link-sc-1mdih4x-2 jZPuuT\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rentecdirect.com\/blog\/why-agents-own-investment-property\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Why Every Real Estate Agent Should Own Investment Property<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2020, real estate investors enjoyed the combined advantages of low mortgage rates and soft property prices. However, as the U.S. emerges from the pandemic and its economy recovers, there is a lot of pent-up demand for property and a lack of listings. And rising prices cut into potential profits for investors. It\u2019s a seller\u2019s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":78,"featured_media":15213,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[275,13882],"tags":[17274,17275,11107,17273,17276],"class_list":["post-15210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-education","category-landlord-tips","tag-17274","tag-17275","tag-investor-tips","tag-market-predictions","tag-real-estate-market","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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